Forfar Athletic 1-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
133 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 119 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
31.08.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
13.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
21.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
15.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKCK
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic and Elgin City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Forfar Athletic at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.00 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Forfar Athletic 1-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 47%, draw 26%, Elgin City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forfar Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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