Ashton United 1-2 Clitheroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Clitheroe EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-2
AWAY Clitheroe
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Clitheroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clitheroe squeezed past Ashton United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ashton United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ashton United had 51% of the ball to Clitheroe's 49%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Clitheroe?

Ashton United 1-2 Clitheroe in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Clitheroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 56%, draw 20%, Clitheroe 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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