AFC Sudbury 4-0 Bury Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.66
No
58%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.7pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bury Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.08.2025 Bury Town Bury Town 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury ran out comfortable winners over Bury Town 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day AFC Sudbury made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town?

AFC Sudbury 4-0 Bury Town in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bury Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 37%, draw 25%, Bury Town 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bury Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bury Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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