Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-2 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
07.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-0 HT 1-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 5-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway nicked a narrow win over Gosport Borough 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.33 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough?

Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Gosport Borough in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 31%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gosport Borough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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