Gosport Borough 1-1 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.09/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.93
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-2 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
07.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-0 HT 1-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 5-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough and Plymouth Parkway shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gosport Borough and 1.00 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway?

Gosport Borough 1-1 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 45%, draw 25%, Plymouth Parkway 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gosport Borough), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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