Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Cheshunt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.8pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carshalton Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheshunt EU Bookmakers 32%
-69% / -69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Carshalton Athletic vs Cheshunt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheshunt nicked a narrow win over Carshalton Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carshalton Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Carshalton Athletic vs Cheshunt?

Carshalton Athletic 1-2 Cheshunt in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carshalton Athletic vs Cheshunt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carshalton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carshalton Athletic 44%, draw 18%, Cheshunt 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carshalton Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carshalton Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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