Gainsborough Trinity 3-2 Shifnal Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.9
No
41%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.3pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Shifnal Town FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Shifnal Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity edged past Shifnal Town FC 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Shifnal Town FC?

Gainsborough Trinity 3-2 Shifnal Town FC in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Shifnal Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 56%, draw 21%, Shifnal Town FC 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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