Burgess Hill 1-1 Potters Bar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgess Hill EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Potters Bar EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Burgess Hill vs Potters Bar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgess Hill and Potters Bar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Burgess Hill at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Burgess Hill vs Potters Bar?

Burgess Hill 1-1 Potters Bar in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgess Hill vs Potters Bar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgess Hill win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgess Hill 41%, draw 24%, Potters Bar 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burgess Hill), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgess Hill) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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