Chertsey Town 1-2 Tilbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tilbury EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Tilbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tilbury nicked a narrow win over Chertsey Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chertsey Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Tilbury?

Chertsey Town 1-2 Tilbury in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Tilbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 52%, draw 27%, Tilbury 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chertsey Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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