Cray Valley 1-0 Berkhamsted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

Cray Valley
1-0 HT 1-0
Berkhamsted
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Cray Valley vs Berkhamsted Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.53
No
33%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
61%
+5.5pp
33%
BTTS No
39%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cray Valley v Berkhamsted — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cray Valley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Berkhamsted EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Cray Valley vs Berkhamsted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cray Valley squeezed past Berkhamsted 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cray Valley as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cray Valley vs Berkhamsted?

Cray Valley 1-0 Berkhamsted in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cray Valley vs Berkhamsted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cray Valley win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cray Valley 47%, draw 18%, Berkhamsted 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cray Valley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cray Valley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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