Dunstable 1-3 Folkestone Invicta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunstable EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Folkestone Invicta EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dunstable vs Folkestone Invicta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folkestone Invicta got the better of Dunstable 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Folkestone Invicta as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Dunstable vs Folkestone Invicta?

Dunstable 1-3 Folkestone Invicta in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunstable vs Folkestone Invicta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Folkestone Invicta win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dunstable 26%, draw 21%, Folkestone Invicta 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Folkestone Invicta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Folkestone Invicta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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