Lewes 1-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Oct 2025

Lewes
1-2 HT 0-1
Leiston
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Lewes vs Leiston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lewes v Leiston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lewes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
6.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lewes vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston squeezed past Lewes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lewes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Lewes vs Leiston?

Lewes 1-2 Leiston in the England - FA Cup on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lewes vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lewes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lewes 42%, draw 24%, Leiston 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lewes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lewes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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