Degerfors 1-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Oct 2025

Degerfors
1-1 HT 0-0
Djurgarden
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Degerfors vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.42
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
10%
7.67
X/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.76
X/X
13%
5.38
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
19%
2.6
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · X/2 at 4.76 — our 24% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.25/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.18
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
22.1 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Degerfors vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.16 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 5-1 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
10.03.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
27.08.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-1 HT 3-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
30.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Degerfors 1-1 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
1-1
AWAY Djurgarden
0.87 xG 0.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
220 Passes 335
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors and Djurgarden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Degerfors had 43% of the ball to Djurgarden's 57%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.87 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Degerfors and 2.67 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Djurgarden?

Degerfors 1-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 24%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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