Mjallby 2-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.32
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.29
X/2
8%
8.86
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
10%
23.55
2/2
9%
7.02
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.6 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
406 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby HAZ
30.03.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.08.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
21.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-0
AWAY Elfsborg
2.59 xG 0.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 6
384 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby beat Elfsborg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 54% of the ball to Elfsborg's 46%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Elfsborg?

Mjallby 2-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 51%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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