GAIS 2-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.95
No
42%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
20%
3.8
X/2
10%
14.75
X/X
7%
6.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
22.25
2/2
7%
12.75
2/X
7%
21.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 15% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.9pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.09/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.79
-21% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
472 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.6 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Norrköping
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
334 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Norrköping Norrköping 0-3 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
02.03.2025 GAIS GAIS 0-3 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
03.08.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
14.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.03.2014 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-1
AWAY Norrköping
2.00 xG 0.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
400 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS edged past Norrköping 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, GAIS had 58% of the ball to Norrköping's 42%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold GAIS's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for GAIS and 1.00 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Norrköping?

GAIS 2-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split GAIS 55%, draw 21%, Norrköping 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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