Eldense 3-3 Juventud Torremolinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
6%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.64/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
3-3
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Juventud Torremolinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Juventud Torremolinos shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Eldense at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eldense had 49% of the ball to Juventud Torremolinos's 51%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Eldense 3-3 Juventud Torremolinos in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Eldense 61%, draw 23%, Juventud Torremolinos 16%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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