Racing Ferrol 1-1 Ourense CF — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Primera Federación, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 14:51
Match Result
HomeVIEW
64%
1.54
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
12%
5.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.21
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.54
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.18
6+
4%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Racing Ferrol The Market 65%
Signal
AWAY Ourense CF The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ourense CF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol HAZ
19.01.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-1 HT 2-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1 - 1
AWAY Ourense CF
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Racing Ferrol vs Ourense CF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Racing Ferrol and Ourense CF with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Racing Ferrol at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (56%) came in, no to both teams scoring (57%) didn't.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 55% of the ball to Ourense CF's 45%, shots finished 10-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.00 for Ourense CF.

Racing Ferrol vs Ourense CF Result & Final Score

Racing Ferrol 1 - 1 Ourense CF in the Spain - Primera Federación on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Racing Ferrol vs Ourense CF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 64%, draw 24%, Ourense CF 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - Primera Federación
4 Oct 2025
15:00 Real Betis II vs Algeciras Analysis →
17:00 Europa vs Marbella Analysis →
17:15 Lugo vs Cacereno Analysis →
17:15 Alcorcon vs Atletico Sanluqueno Analysis →
17:15 Eldense vs Juventud Torremolinos Analysis →
19:30 UD Ibiza vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →