Europa 2-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
2-1
AWAY Marbella
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Europa vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa squeezed past Marbella 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Europa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa had 55% of the ball to Marbella's 45%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Europa vs Marbella?

Europa 2-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Europa 45%, draw 26%, Marbella 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Europa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
4 Oct 2025
15:00 Real Betis II vs Algeciras Analysis →
17:15 Lugo vs Cacereno Analysis →
17:15 Alcorcon vs Atletico Sanluqueno Analysis →
17:15 Eldense vs Juventud Torremolinos Analysis →
19:30 Racing Ferrol vs Ourense CF Analysis →
19:30 UD Ibiza vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →