UD Ibiza 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.62/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.35
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
0-2
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
69% Ball Possession 31%
30 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona saw off UD Ibiza 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 69% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 31%, shots finished 30-9.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

UD Ibiza 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 54%, draw 26%, Gimnastic Tarragona 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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