Atletico Astorga 0-4 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
29%
-9.5pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 48%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.50/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.10
-53% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Astorga
0-4
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Astorga 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RC Deportivo Fabril as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Astorga had 38% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 62%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Atletico Astorga 0-4 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 30%, draw 20%, RC Deportivo Fabril 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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