Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.68/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.74
-35% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sestao River
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
15.10.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-1
AWAY Sestao River
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II and Sestao River shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 59% of the ball to Sestao River's 41%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.50 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Sestao River?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 30%, draw 30%, Sestao River 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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