Beasain 1-1 Ebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Oct 2025

Beasain
1-1 HT 1-0
Ebro
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.8pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebro EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.58/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.19
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
1-1
AWAY Ebro
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Ebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beasain and Ebro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Beasain had 50% of the ball to Ebro's 50%.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Ebro?

Beasain 1-1 Ebro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Ebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Beasain 39%, draw 28%, Ebro 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beasain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beasain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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