Colonia Moscardo 0-1 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 46%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.23/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.72
+18% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-2D-0L
AWAY SS Reyes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 Colonia Moscardo 1-1 HT 1-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
15.09.2024 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-1 HT 0-1 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0-1
AWAY SS Reyes
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes nicked a narrow win over Colonia Moscardo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Reyes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 46% of the ball to SS Reyes's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colonia Moscardo and 1.00 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs SS Reyes?

Colonia Moscardo 0-1 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 30%, draw 24%, SS Reyes 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Reyes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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