04/10/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Maracena vs Sporting Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Maracena win — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
69%
23%
Draw
20%
21%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maracena v Sporting Ceuta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Maracena
The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sporting Ceuta
The Market 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
394 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
248 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Maracena vs Sporting Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Maracena got the better of Sporting Ceuta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Maracena as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Maracena vs Sporting Ceuta?
Maracena 2-0 Sporting Ceuta in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maracena vs Sporting Ceuta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maracena win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Maracena 56%, draw 23%, Sporting Ceuta 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maracena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Maracena)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İSPK
More Spain - Copa del Rey
4 Oct 2025