KR Reykjavik 2-2 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 4 Oct 2025

KR Reykjavik
2-2 HT 1-0
Afturelding
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.08
2-3 Goals
38%
2.2
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
4.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
53%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KR Reykjavik v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.58/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.14
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
25.4 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.83 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
513 Passes 240
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL
18.05.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 4-3 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
11.02.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
08.03.2014 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK

KR Reykjavik 2-2 Afturelding — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-2
AWAY Afturelding
1.04 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 369
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Afturelding shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. KR Reykjavik carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 52% of the ball to Afturelding's 48%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.04 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.50 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

KR Reykjavik 2-2 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 59%, draw 20%, Afturelding 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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