Bayern München (K) 4-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

Bayern München (K)
4-0 HT 2-0
Werder Bremen (K)
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
30%
X/2
1%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
82%
-8.1pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.8pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.26/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.25
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +13%
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 73%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
21.0 Crosses 11.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.7

Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.70 xG 0.54
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
555 Passes 213
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
29.09.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
22.04.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
4-0
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.71 xG 0.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
488 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) ran out comfortable winners over Werder Bremen (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 65% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.71 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.00 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 74%, draw 17%, Werder Bremen (K) 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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