Schott Mainz 1-4 Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.29
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
27%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
57%
Away Win
52%
+4.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.2pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.33/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.51
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +108%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schott Mainz
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2022 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-1 HT 0-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
04.09.2021 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 1-2 HT 0-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach ALMBÖL
17.04.2021 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-4 HT 0-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
12.01.2021 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 0-3 HT 0-1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schott Mainz vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sonnenhof Grossaspach cruised past Schott Mainz 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sonnenhof Grossaspach as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Schott Mainz and 1.50 for Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

What was the final score of Schott Mainz vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

Schott Mainz 1-4 Sonnenhof Grossaspach in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schott Mainz vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sonnenhof Grossaspach win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Schott Mainz 19%, draw 24%, Sonnenhof Grossaspach 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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