Bahlinger SC 1-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.67
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 4-3 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.10.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
02.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and Mainz 05 II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahlinger SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bahlinger SC and 1.67 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II?

Bahlinger SC 1-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 33%, draw 23%, Mainz 05 II 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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