SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SGV Freiberg v Homburg — Team-Based Signals
SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
5-1
HT 2-1
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
2-0
HT 0-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
Homburg nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.17 for Homburg.
What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Homburg?
SGV Freiberg 1-2 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Homburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 47%, draw 26%, Homburg 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg) went the other way.