SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SGV Freiberg v Homburg — Team-Based Signals
SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
5-1
HT 2-1
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
2-0
HT 0-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
SGV Freiberg nicked a narrow win over Homburg 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day SGV Freiberg made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.50 for Homburg.
What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Homburg?
SGV Freiberg 1-0 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Homburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 38%, draw 30%, Homburg 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.