Weiche Flensburg 5-3 Meppen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
64%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.9pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.4pp
64%
Away Win
62%
+1.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Meppen EU Bookmakers 67%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.82/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.76
+57% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +32%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Meppen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-4 HT 1-3 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
27.07.2024 Meppen Meppen 1-1 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
26.04.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
27.10.2023 Meppen Meppen 3-2 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg got the better of Meppen 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Meppen carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meppen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 2.25 for Meppen.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen?

Weiche Flensburg 5-3 Meppen in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 21%, draw 15%, Meppen 64%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Meppen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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