Meppen 1-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.49/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.60
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.04.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
27.10.2023 Meppen Meppen 3-2 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meppen
1-1
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen and Weiche Flensburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Meppen at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Meppen had 56% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Meppen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Meppen and 1.00 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Weiche Flensburg?

Meppen 1-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Meppen 52%, draw 20%, Weiche Flensburg 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meppen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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