Fortuna Köln 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

Fortuna Köln
2-2 HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund II
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Fortuna Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Köln v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.83/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.42/2.56
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fortuna Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-2 HT 0-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
17.11.2019 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
14.03.2015 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
20.09.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln AL3
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln and Borussia Dortmund II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.00 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Fortuna Köln 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 51%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund II 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ BTTS Yes
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