Mainz 05 II 3-1 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.76
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II saw off Bahlinger SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mainz 05 II and 0.83 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Mainz 05 II 3-1 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 55%, draw 21%, Bahlinger SC 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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