Bahlinger SC 4-3 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -21%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.31
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
02.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC edged past Mainz 05 II 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahlinger SC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahlinger SC and 1.50 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II?

Bahlinger SC 4-3 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahlinger SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 45%, draw 29%, Mainz 05 II 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahlinger SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahlinger SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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