FC Minsk II 1-0 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
POST-MATCH FC Minsk II vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk II edged past BATE II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was BATE II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of FC Minsk II vs BATE II?

FC Minsk II 1-0 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk II vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk II 33%, draw 23%, BATE II 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BATE II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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