Ostrovets FC 1-2 Niva Dolbizno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.2pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.06/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
01.06.2025 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 2-1 HT 1-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
02.11.2024 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 1-0 HT 1-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
07.07.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
28.10.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 1-1 HT 1-1 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ostrovets FC
1-2
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Niva Dolbizno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno nicked a narrow win over Ostrovets FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Niva Dolbizno found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ostrovets FC had 54% of the ball to Niva Dolbizno's 46%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Niva Dolbizno led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ostrovets FC and 1.75 for Niva Dolbizno.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Niva Dolbizno?

Ostrovets FC 1-2 Niva Dolbizno in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Niva Dolbizno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 39%, draw 23%, Niva Dolbizno 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ostrovets FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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