FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Osipovichy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Osipovichy EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.49/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.53
-1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Osipovichy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Osipovichy Osipovichy 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
29.10.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 1-1 Osipovichy Osipovichy BLR1
25.06.2023 Osipovichy Osipovichy 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Osipovichy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk and Osipovichy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Volna Pinsk carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 0.33 for Osipovichy.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Osipovichy?

FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Osipovichy in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Osipovichy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 67%, draw 17%, Osipovichy 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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