Lokomotiv Gomel 3-0 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.99/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.26
+53% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bumprom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
29.06.2024 Bumprom Bumprom 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
03.09.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
30.04.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 4-0 HT 2-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
3-0
AWAY Bumprom
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel cruised past Bumprom 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Gomel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Gomel had 44% of the ball to Bumprom's 56%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 0.00 for Bumprom.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs Bumprom?

Lokomotiv Gomel 3-0 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 39%, draw 29%, Bumprom 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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