Athletic Club 2-2 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.36
+3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
20.6 Crosses 12.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amazonas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
322 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2025 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Club BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
2-2
AWAY Amazonas
1.84 xG 2.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 9
281 Passes 205
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and Amazonas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Club had 56% of the ball to Amazonas's 44%, shots finished 22-23, expected goals 1.84 to 2.32.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Amazonas?

Athletic Club 2-2 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 54%, draw 28%, Amazonas 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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