Coritiba 2-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+3.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.55/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.65
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -20%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.1 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.81 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
389 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
23.11.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 1-3 HT 0-2 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
03.08.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
02.11.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
30.07.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 3-2 HT 2-2 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
2-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.92 xG 0.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
561 Passes 281
92% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba got the better of Botafogo SP 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Coritiba had 63% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 37%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 1.92 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coritiba and 1.40 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Botafogo SP?

Coritiba 2-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 68%, draw 18%, Botafogo SP 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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