CRB 1-0 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Oct 2025

CRB
1-0 HT 1-0
Avai
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.19
+14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.9 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Avai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
01.09.2024 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 0-2 Avai Avai BR2
15.05.2024 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.11.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
26.09.2021 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 1-2 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-0
AWAY Avai
1.25 xG 0.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
313 Passes 574
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CRB vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB edged past Avai 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CRB had 38% of the ball to Avai's 62%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.25 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CRB and 1.50 for Avai.

What was the final score of CRB vs Avai?

CRB 1-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CRB 51%, draw 25%, Avai 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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