Chapecoense vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Novorizontino
BR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Novorizontino
BR2
Chapecoense 1-0 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Chapecoense had 48% of the ball to Novorizontino's 52%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.76 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chapecoense and 1.33 for Novorizontino.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Novorizontino?
Chapecoense 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 42%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.