Auxerre 1-2 Lens — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — France - Ligue 1, 4 Oct 2025

Auxerre Elo 1766 · World #177 (clubs) LLLWL→
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Lens Elo 1931 · World #37 (clubs) WWLWD→
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 09:54
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.92
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.48
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.26
6+
6%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.21
1/2
4%
23.55
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
11%
7.24
X/2
16%
4.82
X/X
16%
5.0
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
25%
2.78
2/X
5%
13.15
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Auxerre v Lens — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Auxerre The Market 32%
Signal
AWAY Lens The Market 49%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
1.39 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Strong
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Auxerre vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lens
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Lens Lens 0-4 HT 0-3 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
14.12.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 2-2 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
03.06.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 1-3 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
14.01.2023 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
21.10.2019 Lens Lens 0-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
09.03.2019 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2

Auxerre 1-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
1 - 2
AWAY Lens
1.71 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
420 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Auxerre vs Lens
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lens edged past Auxerre 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Auxerre had 57% of the ball to Lens's 43%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.41 — by the quality of chances, Auxerre deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.33 for Lens.

Auxerre vs Lens Result & Final Score

Auxerre 1 - 2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Lens Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 29%, draw 26%, Lens 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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