Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-24% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
23.7 Crosses 11.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
321 Passes 448
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.03.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
17.08.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
16.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
21.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
30.09.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
173 Passes 454
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Ansan Greeners shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimpo Citizen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 33% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 67%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.67 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners?

Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 51%, draw 26%, Ansan Greeners 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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