Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Oct 2025

Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Volendam
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.15
Over Pick
58%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.01
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
27%
2.97
6+
8%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.39
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.57
X/2
8%
8.43
X/X
13%
5.55
2/1 ✗
3%
21.5
2/2
12%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 3% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Fortuna Sittard v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fortuna Sittard The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam The Market 28%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.79
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0

Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Volendam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
330 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.09.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
17.03.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
02.10.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.02.2018 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
15.09.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
AWAY Volendam
1.58 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 299
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fortuna Sittard came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Volendam 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Fortuna Sittard had 52% of the ball to Volendam's 48%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 0.83 for Volendam.

Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam Result & Final Score

Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 55%, draw 23%, Volendam 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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