Volendam 0-1 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.4
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
12%
6.96
X/2
11%
4.39
X/X
9%
4.31
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.83
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.29/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.72
-30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.7 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.60 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
244 Passes 348
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
17.03.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
02.10.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.02.2018 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
15.09.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
05.05.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
0-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
0.42 xG 1.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
452 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard nicked a narrow win over Volendam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fortuna Sittard found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Volendam had 61% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 39%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.42 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Volendam and 1.67 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Volendam 0-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Volendam 37%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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