PEC Zwolle 0-4 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Oct 2025

PEC Zwolle
0 - 4 HT 0 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
4.71
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
70%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
25%
3.14
Over Pick
75%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
10%
7.31
2-3
37%
2.24
4-5
35%
2.37
6+
18%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.66
1/2
3%
16.95
1/X
4%
17.2
X/1
5%
12.85
X/2 ✗
21%
4.41
X/X
9%
8.38
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
46%
1.75
2/X
4%
15.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.41 — our 21% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PEC Zwolle v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PEC Zwolle The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 69%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.89
1.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.69 xG 2.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 501
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 50
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.01.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 2-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.10.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
24.02.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-7 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
15.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 0-4 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0 - 4
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.14 xG 2.15
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
211 Passes 672
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 43
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven dismantled PEC Zwolle 4-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (75%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

Under the surface, PSV Eindhoven saw more of the ball, 72% to 28%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.14 to 2.15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for PEC Zwolle against 3.83 for PSV Eindhoven.

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

PEC Zwolle 0 - 4 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 70%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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