Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno got the better of Deportivo Recoleta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 41%, shots finished 14-3.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.00 for Deportivo Recoleta.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 59%, draw 23%, Deportivo Recoleta 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.