Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-2 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.18
Over
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.88
-5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.7 Crosses 16.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2W-1D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
03.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
25.08.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-5 HT 2-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
02.11.2014 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0-2
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.26 xG 1.98
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
403 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
54 Box Touches 14
46 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd got the better of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 67% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 33%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.26 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.50 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs OFK Beograd?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-2 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 53%, draw 22%, OFK Beograd 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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